November 2014

Breakfast with a Lord of War

In late 2010, I was invited to a private breakfast meeting with an individual near the apex of the US military’s strategic planning pyramid. Specifically, the individual we were to breakfast with sits at the side of the long-serving head of the department in the Pentagon responsible for identifying and assessing potential threats to national security and devising long-term strategies to counter those threats.

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How “Paper Gold” Affects the Price of the Metal

Oddities in the gold market have been alleged for quite some time, but few know where to start looking, and even fewer have the patience to dig out the meaningful bits from the mountain of market data available. In today’s article Casey Research Chief Economist Bud Conrad turns his keen eye to the Gold sector in order to discover how the big banks are using the futures market to manipulate the price of gold.

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Bank of Japan (BOJ)

On Halloween, the Bank of Japan Did Something Scary

In today’s post Grant Williams looks at the recent actions of the Bank of Japan and their attempt to break free of the deflationary spiral they have been on for more than 20 years. Back in April of 2013 Abenomics was born and Japan began boosting their stock market while trashing the Yen. Now they have “doubled-down” and are planning a TARP style bailout to the tune of about $720 billion. This is only slightly less than TARP’s $787 billion except that the Japanese economy is much smaller than the U.S. economy. So it is really equivalent to the U.S. blowing about $3 Trillion a year for the foreseeable future! And Japan’s debt to GDP is already about 250% compared to the U.S.’s 110%, so they don’t have any wiggle room left.

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A GREAT Model to Understand Gold’s Price Swings

Are Gold’s price swings as truly unpredictable as Bernanke, Yellen and Greenspan would have you believe? Is gold really a Barbarous relic with no place in a modern portfolio? Or is gold a valid insurance policy against the Fed’s $4 trillion balance sheet which is just a “pile of tinder, but hasn’t been lit”? In today’s article we are going to look at a model that predicted the recent peak in gold and current drop.

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