Investing: The Incredible Power Of Staying In The Now

Living in the now is an important concept for both a happy life and also as an investment strategy. The following article by Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital originally appeared here and has been reprinted by permission. ~Tim McMahon, … [Read more...]

Low Probability Market Will Crash

In the following article Chris Ciovacco looks at a variety of indicators to determine the probability that the market will take a dive in the near future. He'll look at New Highs vs. New Lows, and compare market vulnerability of the 2011 market … [Read more...]

Trump Rally: False Dawn Or New Bullish Trend?

Market’s Message Prior To The Election While there is no question the stock market’s short-term profile was showing signs of strain before voters headed to the polls, an analysis performed six trading days before the election noted the stock … [Read more...]

Brexit: Will They Stay Or Will They Go?

Polls Lean Go, Markets Lean Stay A referendum is being held on Thursday, June 23, to decide whether Britain should leave or remain in the European Union (EU). Polls currently indicate a bias for the leave scenario. However, Great Britain’s wagering … [Read more...]

Bear Markets And Economic Contractions: 2001/2008 vs. 2015

Economic Basis For Large Bear Market Declines By Chris Ciovacco As we noted in a recent “recession odds” article, bear markets typically are caused by one of two things: a recession or tight monetary conditions. For example, the 2000-2002 bear … [Read more...]

Reasons To Remain Open To Bullish Outcomes For Stocks

When investor sentiment reaches extreme levels, it can be a contrary indicator for the stock market. For example, the highest bullish reading in the history of the American Association Of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey was 75% bulls … [Read more...]

Could The Fed Trigger A Deflationary Slide In Stocks?

Most economists and stock market participants believe that FED policy can exhibit a tremendous amount of power over the movement of the markets and market participants perception of the future of that policy can affect the market in the short run. … [Read more...]

QE Ending Or Just Getting Started?

ECB To Step Up As Fed Steps Back? While the Federal Reserve has laid out specific plans to end their quantitative easing (QE) program, a new season of QE may be getting ready to kick-off across the pond. From Reuters: The euro fell broadly on … [Read more...]

No 2008 Stock Plunge In the Cards

Lately we have been hearing rumblings in the media that the market is getting "too frothy" and looking like a "bubble" and the media is wondering if we are nearing 2008 proportions. Usually as long as we hear talk like that the market is safe because … [Read more...]

Currency Wars: Money Printing- Wind at Stock Market’s Back

While common sense tells us “printing our way to prosperity” seems like an unlikely longer-term outcome, in the short run it can help push stock prices higher.  From Bloomberg: The global currency wars are heating up again as central banks embark … [Read more...]