General

Auto Safety Trends

There’s no doubt that cars are safer today than they used to be. In 1970 there were 25 automobile fatalities per 100,000 people in the United States according to Wikipedia. In 2014 that number had shrunk to 10 per 100,000 even though the number of miles driven increased by almost 300%. Technological advances along with stricter government regulations have combined to contribute to the increase in car safety. Here are some of the recent innovations that have helped.

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Trump Reaches Magic Number of Delegates

In June 2015, when real estate billionaire Donald Trump announced that he was joining the host of candidates for the Republican Nomination for President he was considered to be either a “long shot” to gain the nomination or a joke. But on Thursday May 26th, the Associated Press announced that Billionaire and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has reached the magic number of delegates necessary to clinch his party’s nomination. The development comes after a small number of unbound Republican delegates told the AP that they would support Trump at the Republican National Convention this summer.

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Oil Won’t Stage A Serious Rebound Until…

Oil prices have shown signs of life over the past few weeks, as production declines in the U.S. raise expectations that the market is starting to adjust. As a result, Brent crude recently surpassed $40 per barrel for the first time in months.

A growing list of companies are capitulating, announcing production cuts for 2016. Continental Resources, for example, could see output fall by 10 percent. A range of other companies have made similar announcements in recent weeks. The energy world has been speculating about declines from U.S. shale, and the declines are finally starting to show up in the data.

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Will Oil Prices Rebound in 2016?

In today’s article, we have an interview that Oilprice.com recently did with Carl Larry, Director of Oil and Gas at Frost & Sullivan, a consultancy that conducts research on oil and gas markets, to get his thoughts on the state of oil in 2016. Mr. Larry has spoken at oil conferences around the world as well as been a contributor to CNBC, CNN, Bloomberg and PBS. From APPEC in Singapore to OPEC in Vienna, his views and insight into the oil markets are highly regarded. Experience in the industry has covered financial funds to commercial producers to physical trading shops. His specialties include hedging presentations and training, trading strategy and forecasts, speaking engagements on oil forecasts and macro oil economics, and consulting for C-level management in Oil and Gas.

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Financial Warfare

The Evolution of Economic Warfare and the Oil Weapon

To understand why financial warfare and the oil weapon is so common, you must understand how it came into existence and what it has achieved. The oil weapon first came into existence in 1965, when Egypt nationalized the Suez Canal. What resulted from this was a declaration of war by France, England, and Israel. As a way to counter this invasion, Saudi Arabia decided to ban exports to England and France. Although this embargo turned out to have minimal economic impact, it was a beginning.

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Governments Around the World Outlawing Cash

Recently, France decided to crack down on those people who make cash payments and withdrawals and who hold small bank accounts. In 2011 Italy began working to end the right of landlords, tradesmen, and small businesses to perform large transactions in cash. Spain has outlawed cash transactions over €2,500. In Sweden, the use of cash is being steadily eliminated. Denmark’s central bank, Nationalbanken, has another justification for ending its use of banknotes—producing paper money and coinage is not cost effective. Israel also seeks to end the use of cash. A 2012 law in Mexico bans large cash transactions, with a maximum penalty of five years in prison. In 2014, Uruguay passed the Financial Inclusion Law, which limits cash transactions to US$5,000. And In the US, federal law requires banks to file a “suspicious activity report” (SAR) on their customers whenever a customer requests a suspicious transaction. (In 2013, 1.6 million SAR’s were submitted.) As to what may be deemed “suspicious,” it may be any transaction of $5,000 or more, but it may also mean a series of transactions that, together, exceed $5,000.

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Will Oil Return to $100 or Drop to $10?

If you have been following the price of oil over the last few months, chances are you’re a little confused. On the one hand, you have the likes of A. Gary Shilling who, in this Bloomberg article, loudly trumpets the prospect of oil at $10/Barrel, and on the other hand there is T. Boone Pickens, who, at the end of last year was predicting a return to $100 within 12-18 months.

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