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December 2009
How the Government Tries to Fleece
You and What You Can Do About It
By David Galland, Managing Director,
Casey Research
After a relaxing Thanksgiving break, I
anticipated to return to work in a lighter frame of mind. However,
the following item from FOX News crushed that hope right away:
Lawmakers Propose
'War Surtax' to Pay for Troop Increase in Afghanistan
Two top Democrats say
they want to impose a new tax on the wealthy to finance any increase
in U.S. troops for the Afghanistan war.
Rep. David Obey, D-Wis.,
chairman of the purse string-controlling House Appropriations
Committee, is calling the idea a "war surtax." He said that just as
the federal government is expected to pay for its proposed
intervention in the health care sector with new taxes, any escalated
involvement in Afghanistan should come with a payment plan.
"If we have to pay
for the health care bill, we should pay for the war as well ... by
having a war surtax," Obey told ABC News in an interview that aired
Monday. "The problem in this country with this issue is that the
only people that has to sacrifice are military families and they've
had to go to the well again and again and again and again, and
everybody else is blithely unaffected by the war."
Readers of my free missive,
Casey’s Daily Dispatch, know I’m vehemently opposed to
the doomed adventure in Afghanistan. On that front alone, the idea
of a war tax is like a shard of glass in my eye.
But it’s even worse than that. It shows just
how degraded this country has become – picking the pockets of the
productive is now pretty much the only remaining source of funding
the administration and its allies can imagine.
Just to be sure we keep this in perspective: At
this moment, if you earn more than $250,000 a year (which isn’t what
it used to be, given the steady erosion of inflation over the last
30 years), you will pay federal income taxes of about 35%, no estate
taxes, and a 15% capital gains tax should the money you put at risk
in the market return a profit.
As soon as next year – if the government moves
up the expiration of the Bush tax cuts, as I very much expect them
to – the top tax bracket will go to 39%. On top of that, the current
healthcare legislation will add a 5.4% surcharge. Then, add in the
Democrats’ proposed 5% war tax. So straight up we’re talking 49%.
Then there’s a near doubling of capital gains
taxes, from 15% to as high as 28%. And, of course, the return of the
estate tax.
But that’s just for starters, because
everywhere you look states and municipalities are raising taxes and
fees, and attorney generals, taking a page out of Caligula’s
playbook, are casting about for their next deep-pocketed victim.
At the end of the day, the top tax rate in the
U.S., starting as early as next year, will soar way over 50% of
income. While further number crunching is required, it is a very
safe assumption that top income earners will soon be paying over 65%
of their income in taxes.
Which is to say, if you are in a top tax
bracket, every penny you earn between January 1 and August 25 will
go straight into the coffers of one layer of government or another.
And this while more than 40% of Americans pay
no income taxes at all.
This is just another symptom of the single
biggest problem now facing the U.S. (and for that matter, the
world): the ballooning size and cost of government. And there are no
speed bumps in sight.
Even so, endless complaining won’t really do
anything other than raise the blood pressure. So, what can we
actually do about it? Some ideas:
1. Buy gold. Unless and until there is
an angry upwelling of popular discontent at the growing size of
government – and it has to be far more substantive than just a few
vocal talk radio jocks, or even 100,000 or so people peacefully
gathering on the Mall in Washington DC – the government will
continue to grow, or even just keep running at current levels, which
means the destruction of the dollar. Many tangible assets will do
well, but their intrinsic value as money means gold (and silver)
will do best.
As I write, gold has again broken to a new,
non-inflation-adjusted high. As with all markets, it will fall back
now and again, but the trend is very much up.
2. Buy gold shares. The leverage in the
high-quality gold shares can boost your returns by a
factor of 2X to 10X, and more. Again, there will be setbacks, but
shares in the right companies with the right projects will trend
higher and higher until the Mania phase kicks in, and then
things will get really interesting.
3. Be smart about taxes. Keep an eye on
Pelosi’s tax trap – if you have appreciated assets that qualify for
long-term capital gains, consider selling them before year-end to
lock in the lower capital gains tax. Likewise, if you run a business
and you can pull any income into this year, versus next, consider
doing so.
4. Diversify globally. Why do it? The
short version is that it’s a big world out there, and there are a
lot of places that are incredibly beautiful, safe, and unbelievably
inexpensive. For many non-U.S. citizens, expatriating means you’ll
pay no income tax, but even if you are a U.S. citizen, there are
substantial tax benefits in moving offshore. And what you can save
in cheaper everyday living allows you to live like royalty, for a
fraction of the cost. Which means you can save more.
Personally, I favor Argentina. Some years ago I
went on a three-year quest to find paradise on earth, and Argentina
was ultimately the hands-down winner.
5. Recognize the bureaucracy for what it is.
These are not “public servants” but rather an entrenched interest
group that is actively engaged in a systematic effort to look after
itself, with no regard for the damage it’s doing to your family
finances and to the country.
Now, there are two schools of thought as to how
you deal with the bureaucrats. My dear friend and partner, Doug
Casey, would tell you to take every opportunity to let the
bureaucrats know you hold them in low esteem. For example, by asking
airport security personnel how old they were before they realized
they wanted to make a career out of pawing through people’s
underwear.
The second approach is to accept that the
bureaucrats, backed by the voting masses, hold most of the cards at
this point. Poking at them with a stick risks unnecessary
aggravation and worse. So, keeping a low profile and going about
your business is certainly a rational choice.
Of course, there’s no better way of maintaining
a low profile than moving to another country where you’ll be
welcomed as a visitor and not viewed as a serf.
Is there no hope? One obvious scenario is for
the Democrats to lose control of either the House or the Senate come
next November’s elections, thereby returning the nation to some form
of political gridlock. The best of all worlds, in my view. And the
way things are heading, this is now a certainty.
But before you get overly excited about the
prospects of a political solution, don’t forget the role the
Republicrats have played in bringing the nation to this sorry state
over the past several decades. If you’re holding out for an outbreak
of capitalism or other signs of fiscal sanity once Republicans
regain some modicum of political power, you are delusional. They may
package their programs in different-colored paper, but when you rip
away the wrappings, you’ll find the same statism and the same
promises of a chicken in every pot.
Look after yourself – no one else is going to
do it for you.
Gold has just hit a new record-high… and the
small-cap Canadian explorers with good-sized deposits are sure to be
dragged along into the stratosphere. In the current issue of
Casey’s International Speculator,
Editor Louis James names eight junior gold miners that – due
to their top-quality assets – are destined to become takeover
targets for the big players in the gold industry.
If you get in today
your investment could easily double or triple,
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