This Chart presents Monthly Average Oil Prices. See Annual Averages in
Table Form .
The above chart shows oil prices adjusted for inflation
in April 2008 dollars. As you can see current prices
in real (inflation adjusted) terms fell from July 2006
until January 2007 but then rose sharply since January 2007.
The rise resulted in current prices being
higher than the previous peak not only in nominal terms but also in
inflation adjusted terms.
The previous peak
price occurred back in 1979. At that time the monthly
average oil price peaked at $38 per barrel (although the intraday prices spiked much
higher).
The common price quoted is for the all time high of Oil prices is the price
that the highest barrel ever sold for. That price doesn't really have any effect
on the price consumers paid. What really matters is the average price the refineries had
to pay for the whole month. Interestingly, the highest monthly
average occurred in December 1979 while the highest annual high
occurred in 1980. Which means prices spiked higher in late
1979 and then dropped slightly but overall remained at higher levels
throughout 1980.
Note that the prices we use are for Illinois Crude which will be
similar but not exactly the same as the NY Crude spot price.
Also note that during the 1970's Oil prices were subject to price
controls except for "stripper" wells. These price controls resulted
in shortages and lines at the gas station in addition to some
shootings and even deaths due to people "cutting in the gas line".
We use the free market stripper prices which more accurately
indicate what prices would have been without the artificial price
controls.
Adjusted for inflation in April 2008 dollars
the 1979 $38 peak is the equivalent of paying $106.43 today. (Note: This number is constantly changing as we adjust for
inflation at the current moment.)
In other words, as Oil moved above
$106.43 we entered new high territory. With prices for
May in the high teens we are more than 10% above the previous record
high!
For more information on how we got to this point in our Oil prices see the article Why Oil Prices haven't Crippled the US Economy Yet or Oil Prices in
Table Form.
Tim McMahon is the editor of Financial Trend Forecaster in addition
to the editor of
InflationData.com "The Place in Cyberspace for inflation
data" and the editor of Your Family Finances. He has also
written a book on
Geographic Tongue and other tongue problems call
Healthy
Tongue Secrets.