Iran

100 dollar Oil

$100 Oil Is A Distinct Possibility

An oil price spike is starting to look increasingly possible, with a rerun of 2008 not entirely out of the question, according to a new report.

The outages from Iran are worse than most analysts expected, and bottlenecks in the U.S. shale patch could prevent non-OPEC supply from plugging the gap. To top it off, new regulations from the International Maritime Organization set to take effect in 2020 could significantly tighten supplies.

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Oil War Saudi Arabia vs Iran

Oil Price War: Saudi Arabia vs. Iran

One of the first lessons in Econ 101 is Supply vs. Demand. If the supply is curtailed and demand stays the same the price will go up. A somewhat later lesson is that Government sanctions reduces supply and drives prices up. The classic example of this is the drug trade. But recent sanctions by the U.S. has had quite the opposite effect (at least temporarily).  What has happened is that the U.S. has put trade sanctions on Iran. So Iran is offering its oil at a discount to those willing to go against U.S. wishes and buy their oil anyway. In response Saudi Arabia is offering to match Iran’s price without the risk of offending the United States. So in effect we have a price war (i.e. a race to the bottom). Chances are this won’t last long if the sanction breakers suffer severe enough consequences.

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IEA: High Oil Prices “Taking A Toll” On Demand

Geopolitics has taken over the oil market, driving oil prices up to three-year highs. The inventory surplus has vanished, and more outages could push oil prices up even higher. Yet, there are some signs that demand is starting to take a hit as oil closes in on $80 per barrel.

In the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) May Oil Market Report, the agency said that OPEC might be needed to step in and fill the supply gap if a significant portion of Iran oil goes offline. Saudi Arabia suggested shortly after the U.S. announced its withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal that OPEC would act to mitigate any supply shortfall should it occur.

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Map Saudi Arabia

Driving Down Oil Prices Just to Hurt Russia is “Simplistic”

In the global chess game of energy politics every move affects more than a single opponent and the effects of low oil prices are not equally distributed. Some countries will be hurt by low prices more than others. Who will lower oil prices hurt more, Russia, Syria, Iran, Venezuela… the U.S. ? In today’s article, Andrew Topf of Oilprice.com looks at some of the background and cause and effect of lower energy prices.

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"Offshore Oil Rig" by num_skyman

India’s Energy Ties with Iran Unsettle Washington

India’s relentless search for hydrocarbons to fuel its booming economy has managed the rather neat diplomatic trick of annoying Washington, delighting Tehran and intriguing Baghdad, all the while leaving the Indian Treasury fretting about how to pay for its oil imports, given tightening sanctions on fiscal dealings with Iran.

On 7 June the US State Department reluctantly announced that it was renewing India’s six-month waivers for implementing sanctions against Iran, along with seven other countries eligible for waivers from the sanctions owing to good faith efforts to substantially reduce their Iranian oil imports. In New Delhi’s case, it is the U.S. and EU-led sanctions rather than any willingness on India’s part that has seen a fall in its Iranian oil imports. India is the second-largest buyer of Iranian oil, a nation with whom it has traditionally had close ties. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said that India, China, Malaysia, South Korea, Singapore, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Turkey, and Taiwan had all qualified for an exception to sanctions under America’s Iran Sanctions Act, based on additional significant reductions in the volume of their crude oil purchases from Iran.

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Iran Hopes Exporting Electricity Will Cover for Reduced Oil Demand

Exporting Electricity Against the backdrop of discussions about pending negotiations over its controversial nuclear program and the upcoming deadline of an European embargo on Iranian oil comes a quiet push by the Islamic republic to become a major electricity exporter. Tehran had said it was expecting to secure electricity deals with Syria and Lebanon and

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