The Hungry Dragon: China’s New Oil Market
By Marin Katusa, Chief Investment Strategist, Energy Division
If you ever happen to eavesdrop on a conversation between energy investors, two words are sure to crop up – China and oil. Usually, they’re used together and usually, it’s about China’s increasing presence on the global oil scene.
It’s a pretty safe bet that, as one of the world’s fastest growing economies, China needs a lot of energy. And with an oil appetite that grows by 7.5% each year, seven times faster than the U.S., the country’s reserves don’t even begin to compare to the consumption.
But fuelling the blistering pace of its economy is China’s number one priority, and it is on a mission to lock down its energy interests all around the world. The emerging powerhouse has often felt that it was the last one onto the energy playing field with a lot of catching up to do.
At $1000 is Gold Expensive?
With Gold over $1000 and at all time nominal high prices many are wondering if Gold is overpriced.
If we look at the inflation adjusted price of Gold we see that even at $1000 it is still only about half-way to its all time highs.
For more information see Inflation Adjusted Gold Price .
But that is just one way to look at the price by comparing it to U.S. dollars. We could also look at its price in Euros or at what the price looks like to the people in China or India. And each of those are based on the values of their currency and how much they are inflating.
But a different way to look at it would be in comparison to the price of other commodities. Theoretically in an ideal world, if the supply of currency is inflating, then all commodities should increase equally.
But in the real world that isn’t true. There are inequalities partially because money doesn’t flow equally initially. Eventually it will even out as traders arbitrage high priced commodities against lower priced ones. Continue reading
Will Obama Destroy U.S. Energy Independence?
The U.S. consumes nearly three times the amount of oil that it produces domestically on a daily basis. How can this statistic get any worse, you might ask?
Imagine in 2010 the Obama administration persuades Congress to pass a budget that results in a reduction of domestic oil production by 10% – 20%, making the supply/demand imbalance even more lopsided. Foreign oil companies will gain a distinct advantage over American domestic operators as an unintended consequence of these proposals. Continue reading
Cheap Oil is Gone, and That’s Good News
By Marin Katusa, Senior Energy Strategist, Casey’s Energy Report
Over the next year or two, you will likely find yourself paying a LOT more at the gas pump. Big changes are taking place in the oil industry. With increased global demand and declining supply, easy oil is not so easy anymore.
Everything is about to get more expensive. From gasoline to anti-freeze, life jackets to golf balls, and eye glasses to fertilizer. There are very few things in the modern world that aren’t made from oil, made by machines dependant on oil, or shipped by vehicles powered by oil. Continue reading
Why Gold hasn’t Skyrocketed… Yet
Editor’s Note: What’s holding Gold back? In this excellent video Adam shows us not only what’s holding it back but also when it will break out.
Just click the Gold Chart below to get started and while you are there sign up for their free newsletter or get their Free Instant Analysis delivered to your email inbox.
With the printing presses in full printing mode, many people are questioning why gold prices haven’t gone higher – much higher.
In Adam’s new video, he explains some of the subtle market cycles that are at play right now in this market. These short-term cycles have been the dominant force in gold all year and appear to be still in control of price action. Continue reading
Washington Capitulates: Peak Oil Is Real
Editor’s Note: Over the last few years, news of world renowned geologist M. King Hubbert’s theory of peak oil theory has circulated widely. Most have now heard his theory which in a nutshell says, global production of Oil and Natural Gas will decline due to increased difficulty in getting to the Global reserves of these fossil fuels. Many have studied the peak oil phenomenon, trying to confirm (or deny) Hubbert’s timing of the peak. Oil companies and International Energy Agencies have both confirmed and denied the case for “Peak Oil” over the years. But current information from the Energy Information Administration sheds new light on the subject as Doug Hornig of Casey’s Energy Opportunities shows us in this article.
Washington Capitulates: Peak Oil Is Real
By Doug Hornig, Editor, Casey’s Energy Opportunities
Each year, generally in May, the Energy Information Administration publishes a less-than-eagerly-anticipated tome called the International Energy Outlook, 250+ pages of mind-numbing text, charts, graphs, and tables.
No one reads it. The mainstream media ignores it.
It’s the product of the best prognosticators in the Department of Energy. Okay, that may be what puts most people off. But if you’re patient enough to dig into it, it will cough up some fascinating nuggets of information.
The present edition is no exception. The report refrains from spelling out the peak oil conclusion that seems most obvious from its data. However, confirming a trend begun just last year, the 2009 edition clearly reveals that the government has been forced to admit that Peak Oil is coming. Moreover, it’s expected to arrive much faster than was believed as recently as two years ago. Continue reading
How Obama’s Policies will Affect Energy Prices
By Marin Katusa, Chief Strategist, Casey Research Energy Team
Casey Energy Opportunities
One might think the United States would be charging hard on energy security as well as border and other kinds of security in its Global War on Terror campaign. Not so. For example, America imports some 12 million barrels of oil per day, yet maintains a Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) whose maximum is 727 million barrels and its inventory is currently lower, 701 million barrels, because the government cut off shipments to it last year in an effort to modulate gasoline prices. [That is just over a 58 day supply-Editor] The math gets even more discouraging when you work in the fact that the SPR’s daily drawdown capacity is only 4.4 million barrels – so America is completely unprepared for any worst-case scenarios, or even the bad-case ones. Continue reading
