U.S.

US vs China

Is The U.S. A Powerful “Empire” In Decline?

Recently I’ve been giving a lot of thought to the idea of global “empires”. Back in the 1970s one of my teachers discussed the parallels between the U.S. and the Roman empire and those parallels are even more striking today. A simple search on the term, “Parallels Between the U.S. and the Roman Empire” will generate pages and pages of results on this topic from such esteemed writers as Doug Casey, Seeking Alpha and even Salon.

In the U.S. we tend to bristle at the idea that we are an “empire” but a recent YouTube Video by Ray Dalio got me thinking about this subject once again. The characteristics of an “Empire” are fairly consistent and specific. Truth in History lists 36 characteristics of an empire. These include:

Being the “World’s Policeman”.
Meddling in the political affairs of foreign nations.
Original citizenry becomes rich, lazy, fat and demands “bread and circuses”.
Has an expanded immigration policy.
Accepts foreigners into its realm as unskilled laborers.
Ray Dalio’s video explains how the ascendency to Empire status occurs and he focuses on three recent “empires” including the Dutch, British, and the U.S. He calls this “the Big Cycle” and focuses primarily on the financial aspects of Empire.

Is The U.S. A Powerful “Empire” In Decline? Read More »

Chinese Hold US Treas Bar Chart

U.S.-China Trade War: Who will Win?

One of Trump’s campaign platforms was that the U.S. wasn’t getting fair deals in international trade. His two biggest examples were NAFTA (trade with Canada and Mexico) and trade with China. And in 2018 the media panicked and drove the markets down anticipating that Trump would somehow destroy all trade and the U.S. would plunge the world into another depression. Then in  November 2018 NAFTA (North American Free Trade) was replaced by USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada-Agreement) which included  new protections for U.S. intellectual property, Digital Trade, Anti-corruption, and Good Regulatory Practices. It also included provisions “Creating a more level playing field for American workers, including improved rules of origin for automobiles, trucks, other products, and disciplines on currency manipulation.”And now six months later the Trump administration is taking on China. But China is not Mexico and it has a lot more clout so where does the U.S. stand in this fight? 

U.S.-China Trade War: Who will Win? Read More »

The Oil War Just Getting Started

Let the battle begin. OPEC is trying to cut production and drive prices up while U.S. Shale Oil producers are seeing the increase in oil prices as an opportunity to get back in the game. More oil rigs are coming on line in the U.S. accompanied by increased drilling activity. BP’s 2017 Energy outlook is saying there is plenty of oil until at least 2050 but this includes an estimate that oil demand will slow in the coming years.

The Oil War Just Getting Started Read More »

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