June 2017

NYMEX Crude Oil

Is A Big Move In Oil Prices Due?

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On November 30th 2016, Bloomberg trumpeted the following headline, OPEC Confounds Skeptics, Agrees to First Oil Cuts in 8 Years. On the day before, (i.e. November 29th) oil prices had plunged 2.5% and the NYMEX Oil ETF was trading at $11.34 and the news drove the price up to $13.05 by January 6th, 2017 where it peaked and it’s been downhill ever since.

Was this a case of “Buy the Rumor Sell the News”?  Not quite since it did climb for a couple of months before reality set in, but the OPEC deal was doomed to fail pretty much from the beginning. First of all, U.S. Shale Oil wasn’t part of the deal and secondly the targets were set at previous peak production so there really weren’t any “cuts” simply limits to future growth. After falling to $9.89 on June 21st the price has rebounded a bit moving back above support so we could easily see a move to the resistance line or above. So have we seen the bottom and is this the beginning of  a new rally?    Or is this a counter-trend rally to the top of the channel or simply a fake and the beginning of a correction to the downside? In today’s post, Brian Noble looks at the question, “Is a big move in Oil Prices Due?”~ Tim McMahon, editor. 

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Justice

Are Regulations Strangling Free Enterprise?

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To believe that regulation is unnecessary and harmful is not an idealistic and detached view. It flows necessarily from a belief in human equality. If you firmly believe all humans are equal, what is it that allows a third person to infringe with the threat of violence on the right of two people to transact freely with one another? Bouazizi and his customers were both made worse-off by both being denied the right to transact freely by government.

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Solar Hot Water

Will Solar Energy Finally Catch On?

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The idea of using solar power is a popular one. Not only is it eco-friendly, but the hope is that it can also save your household a significant amount of money. But the idea of using solar power is not new. The first solar hot water heater was created by Clarence Kemp of Baltimore who painted a tank black and enclosed it in a wooden box thus creating the first known “batch water heater”.

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eCommerce Trends: What’s in Your eWallet?

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All of these systems paved the way for the advent of eCommerce. Imagine trying to buy something online if all we had was physical currency. It would effectively be impossible to process electronic transactions without these modern digital currency alternatives. This area is bound to explode in coming years as the desire for more electronic transactions collides with a desire for more electronic privacy.

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Real Estate Trends: House Flipping

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It is difficult to flip through the channels on your TV and not see at least a couple of shows about flipping houses and making a fortune in the process. There are even online courses that teach you all about how flipping is done. This is an incredible phenomenon that is sweeping across the country, and many people have attempted to flip a home or have been thinking about doing it in the future. This trend will likely continue to impact the housing market in the years to come.

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Has Permian Shale Productivity Peaked Already?

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The Permian Basin is the largest petroleum-producing basin in the United States and has produced a cumulative 28.9 billion barrels of oil and 75 trillion cu ft. of gas. Currently, nearly 2 million barrels of oil per day are being pumped from the basin advances in hydrocarbon recovery such as horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) have expanded production into unconventional, tight oil shales which up until fairly recently were unrecoverable. Prior to these advances, all the talk was about “Peak Oil” and that we would run out of recoverable oil. And then along came horizontal drilling and fracking and we are suddenly awash in oil and natural gas. But is it all about to come to a screeching halt as Permian oil production peaks? In the following article about Permian Basin Productivity Nick Cunningham of Oilprice.com looks at where Permian productivity is headed now.

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