Economic Trends

Long-term trends grow from short term trends. We attampt to determine the short term trends and where they are pointing.

Argentina-oil

Can Argentina Capitalize On Its Vast Shale Reserves?

Argentina, once a regional energy leader, is now better known for financial busts and bombastic politicians than hydrocarbons prospects. Still, with a resource potential both vast and untapped, the nation has never been far from energy investors’ minds. The question today is just how much Argentina is willing to change and how this plays into a low oil price environment that is already negatively impacting investment elsewhere.

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London Infrastructure

Trends in Digital Infrastructure- Infographic

Normally, we spend quite a bit of time looking at precious metals like Gold and Silver, Oil, Real Estate, the Stock Market and other related trends. But, today we are going to look at something entirely different. Something that perhaps you haven’t given much thought to. Ten to Fifteen years ago, I was involved in the Information Technology (IT) field and was responsible for setting up regional offices in cities as different as Berlin is from Bangkok. These far flung offices were in regions of the world from Brazil to Zimbabwe and the major limiting factor was internet access. Although it was common enough in most developed countries, in many areas getting a dedicated IP address along with a high speed internet connection was near impossible. Fortunately in the intervening years high speed connections have become much more common even in the remotest of locations. This has allowed development of critical computer skills even among poor nations. And long term, this may provide a path toward economic development for these countries. But even developed countries may be suffering from a lack of infrastructure as you will see from the following article.

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Could The Fed Trigger A Deflationary Slide In Stocks?

Most economists and stock market participants believe that FED policy can exhibit a tremendous amount of power over the movement of the markets and market participants perception of the future of that policy can affect the market in the short run. The major exception is Robert Prechter who believes that “monetary policy doesn’t have a reliable effect on the stock market.” He recommends that you Don’t Get Ruined by This Popular Investment Myth. But in today’s post Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management looks at whether the FED could trigger a slide in the stock market. ~Tim McMahon, editor.

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Breakfast with a Lord of War

In late 2010, I was invited to a private breakfast meeting with an individual near the apex of the US military’s strategic planning pyramid. Specifically, the individual we were to breakfast with sits at the side of the long-serving head of the department in the Pentagon responsible for identifying and assessing potential threats to national security and devising long-term strategies to counter those threats.

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Bank of Japan (BOJ)

On Halloween, the Bank of Japan Did Something Scary

In today’s post Grant Williams looks at the recent actions of the Bank of Japan and their attempt to break free of the deflationary spiral they have been on for more than 20 years. Back in April of 2013 Abenomics was born and Japan began boosting their stock market while trashing the Yen. Now they have “doubled-down” and are planning a TARP style bailout to the tune of about $720 billion. This is only slightly less than TARP’s $787 billion except that the Japanese economy is much smaller than the U.S. economy. So it is really equivalent to the U.S. blowing about $3 Trillion a year for the foreseeable future! And Japan’s debt to GDP is already about 250% compared to the U.S.’s 110%, so they don’t have any wiggle room left.

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The Asian Age of Transformation

On September 19-21, 2014, in San Antonio, Texas, top experts from Casey Research—as well as many well-regarded guest speakers—gathered to discuss the most important issues facing our economy today and presented on how to position yourself to thrive in the year ahead. If you weren’t able to attend the 2014 Casey Research Summit you missed the following projections on the future of Asia.

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