BLS Announces Virtually Flat Inflation for June

On Friday July 15th, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics(BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) had increased from 238.638 in June 2015 to 241.038 in June of 2016 resulting in a 1% Annual inflation rate. InflationData calculated the … [Read more...]

Just When You Thought Bonds Were Safe

In today's article Jared Dillian compares the 2/10 yield curve to a "Double Black Diamond" ski slope. In other words, it's wickedly steep! The yield curve he is talking about here is the 10 year treasury yield minus the 2 year treasury yield. This … [Read more...]

Surviving a Hyperinflation

Hyperinflation is not as uncommon as you think- The most notorious recent case was in Zimbabwe  and ran from 1998 - 2008. But North Korea experienced a less severe hyperinflation in 2010 -2011. Other recent examples include Belarus 1994-2002, Bosnia … [Read more...]

Tapering Bets Could Backfire For Stock Bears

Dual Mandate Says No Major Changes Coming In 1977, Congress amended The Federal Reserve Act, stating the monetary policy objectives of the Federal Reserve are “to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices and moderate … [Read more...]

Three cheers for the Dow

The Dow has been setting record highs for over a week now. You'd think the economy was booming or something. But as I've said before perhaps it is all just "funny money."  Is it possible that even though inflation isn't affecting the price of most … [Read more...]

Gold’s Critical Metric

By Jeff Clark, Casey Research There are many reasons why gold is still our favorite investment – from inflation fears and sovereign debt concerns to deeper, systemic economic problems. But let's be honest: It's been rising for over 11 years now, … [Read more...]

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China: Continued Boom or Bursting Bubble?

By James Quinn, Casey Research In a recent article, How China Ate America’s Lunch, Clif Carothers described what China has accomplished in the last thirty years: In thirty short years, China was able to accelerate her GDP from $216 billion to $6 … [Read more...]

Inflation Forecast

Forecasting Inflation Our primary Inflation forecaster is our proprietary "Moore Inflation Predictor" (MIP)... as a matter of fact it is the reason we began publishing the Financial Trend Forecaster as a paper newsletter. Prior to that James Moore … [Read more...]

The Coming Currency Crisis

This essay from the July 2006 International Speculator captures the essence of Bud Conrad's forward-looking, contrarian analysis… almost eerily so as we appear to be on the brink of the economic precipice described herein. By Bud Conrad, Casey … [Read more...]

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When Buying Gold Becomes a Life-or-Death Question

By Jeff Clark, Editor BIG GOLD, Casey Research I was recently asked in an interview if I thought gold was going to $5,000 an ounce. “No,” I said bluntly. “I think it’s going higher.” “You’re that optimistic?” “No,” I replied. “I’m that … [Read more...]