Economic Trends

Long-term trends grow from short term trends. We attampt to determine the short term trends and where they are pointing.

Stock Market Is Not Physics: Part IV

The following series is excerpted from two classic issues of Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. Although originally published in 2004, the valuable series has been re-released in the Independent Investor eBook, along with over 100 pages of other reports that challenge conventional economic thinking. Here is Part IV of the series. Click these links to […]

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Stock Market Is Not Physics Part III

We have already seen that economic performance, earnings and inflation do not necessarily coincide with movements in apparently related financial markets. Is there any evidence that dramatic news events that make headlines, such as terrorist attacks, political events, wars, crises or any such events are causal to stock market movement?

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The Stock Market Is Not Physics: Part I

The following series is excerpted from two classic issues of Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. Although originally published in 2004, the valuable series has been re-released in the Independent Investor eBook, along with over 100 pages of other reports that challenge conventional economic thinking. Here is Part I of the series. Check back in a

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The ABCs of Re-hypothecation in Gold and Securities Markets: What You Need to Know

By Kevin Brekke, Casey Research A new polysyllabic term has entered the Wall Street lexicon and is sweeping through the investing world like a brush fire through a dry canyon: “hypothecation.” With its connection to the MF Global bankruptcy and aftermath, it engenders the kind of fear a homeowner might feel while monitoring the approaching

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European Union Agreement: Good or Bad for the Dow Industrials?

Did European Union leaders make the sovereign debt crisis “go away” last week? Not even close. What they did agree on is tougher budget rules: “…17 countries of the euro zone…agreed to run only minimal budget deficits in the future and allowed the European Court of Justice the right to strike down national laws that

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The Light Bulb Moment for the Eurozone

How many European bankers does it take to change a light bulb? That’s a joke in search of an answer, but EWI’s European analyst Brian Whitmer explained five months ago that the “light bulb moment” was coming — that’s the time when most people would clearly recognize the severity of the European debt crisis. He offered this spot-on analysis back in July 2011, before the larger world came to know recently how bad things really are in the eurozone.

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America’s Biggest Banks: How Safe Are They?

“The Coming Worldwide Bank run” Lost in the clamor over the central banks’ “let there be liquidity” pronouncement, Standard & Poor’s just downgraded fifteen major U.S. and European banks. The downgrade doesn’t mean Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Barclays, UBS, Wells Fargo and others will close shop tomorrow. But the long-term credit downgrade does raise questions

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