Government

A Central Bank’s Toolkit to fight a Depression

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I know as you read this, you are aware that America and the world are currently experiencing an economic crisis. Many economic experts say we could be heading towards a worsening recession or even a depression. In this article, I have listed a few tools that a government has at its disposal to pull itself out of a recession and even avoid a depression. It’s good to be aware of the intervention tools governments use to prop up an economy in order to better protect your wealth and purchasing power.

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Obama Wants to Control the Banks

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I must be naive. I really thought the administration would welcome the return of bank bailout money. Some $340 million in TARP cash flowed back this week from four small banks in Louisiana, New York, Indiana and California. This isn’t much when we routinely talk in trillions, but clearly that money has not been wasted or otherwise sunk down Wall Street’s black hole. So why no cheering as the cash comes back?

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Saving the Banks will Accomplish – Nothing

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The old saying is that during a deflation cash is king. This is because as prices fall money becomes more valuable (i.e. it buys more). So it makes sense to hold onto it as long as possible and wait for it to increase in value. Because people hold onto their money it becomes scarce and harder to come by.

During a deflationary recession people also hold onto their money because they are uncertain about the continued supply of money (will they lose their job due to the recession, etc) so they in addition to holding money for appreciation, they are also “saving for a rainy day”.

Conversely during inflationary times money is becoming less valuable (buys less over time) so people want to get rid of it before it loses too much purchasing power and they even borrow as much as possible so they can pay it back with less valuable dollars. Keep that in mind as you read Andy Gordon’s excellent article on why bailing out the banks won’t help the economy. ~ Tim McMahon

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Can the Government Stop Another Great Depression?

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The following article is excerpted from a recent issue Elliott Wave International’s Financial Forecast. Elliott Wave International (EWI) is offering the full 10-page issue, entitled “The Most Important Investment Report You’ll Read in 2009,” free for a limited time. In addition to the following market commentary, it includes independent forecasts of stocks, bonds, metals, the

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The Free Market is Dead

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On several occasions of late, I have read or heard the phrase, “We are all Keynesians now,” an erudite way of expressing the idea that the free market is dead. And that the fate of the global economy now relies almost entirely on pragmatic measures yet to be taken by governments, most notably that of the United States.

Given that the word “pragmatic” is often used to describe President Obama, it appears that the man of the hour has arrived just in the nick of time.

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