IEA: High Oil Prices “Taking A Toll” On Demand

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Geopolitics has taken over the oil market, driving oil prices up to three-year highs. The inventory surplus has vanished, and more outages could push oil prices up even higher. Yet, there are some signs that demand is starting to take a hit as oil closes in on $80 per barrel.

In the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) May Oil Market Report, the agency said that OPEC might be needed to step in and fill the supply gap if a significant portion of Iran oil goes offline. Saudi Arabia suggested shortly after the U.S. announced its withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal that OPEC would act to mitigate any supply shortfall should it occur.

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Don’t Count Your North Korean Chickens Before They’re Hatched

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A few weeks ago, I was telling a few thousand of my “closest friends” on Facebook that you can’t count your North Korean chickens before they hatch. North Korea has a long history of provoking the West with Nuclear threats then backing down in exchange for “concessions” and a “Treaty”. Typically this means a cash bribe from the West in exchange for a worthless promise from North Korea.  After a while the Treaty gets broken and the cycle repeats itself.  

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When Will Electric Cars Take Over The Roads?

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The age of the electric vehicle (EV) will be here sooner than you think. Out of 1 billion cars in the world, only 2 million are electric. But that will soon change, as costs diminish, and more governments encourage the adoption of EVs to cut carbon emissions and fight urban pollution. According to Bloomberg, by 2040, 54 percent of all new car sales will be for EVs. Millions of new EVs will take a big bite out of oil demand and displace 8 million barrels of transport fuel (gasoline and diesel) every day.

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Lithium

A New Lithium War Is About To Begin

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It’s the modern gold rush. Around the world, the most sought-after mineral isn’t a precious metal, nor is it oil and gas…it’s lithium. Lithium, or “white petroleum” as some call it, has become a crucial element in today’s high-tech economy. Demand for lithium is soaring, and producers are frantically searching for new sources of supply. Prices have doubled in the last two years, rising as high as $16,500 per ton.

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Is the Current Highly Volatile Market Really Bearish?

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In the following article, Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management looks at the current market volatility compared to similar occurrences in past years to determine how much risk is in the market today.

Price Action Year-to-Date:- What Can We Learn from History?
Reference Points Provide Context
A December 2016 post highlighted similarities between late 2016/early 2017 and the 1994-1995 period.  The analogy proved useful in 2017 with stocks posting a rare low-volatility year that featured a strong bullish trend, which compared very favorably with the strong-gains/low-volatility year of 1995.

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Guyana Map

Is Guyana Prepared For An Oil Boom?

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It’s pretty much common knowledge that Socialism has destroyed the economy of Venezuela despite its abundance of oil. But we don’t hear much about its neighbor Guyana. One might guess that if Venezuela has oil Guyana might be similarly blessed. And it might finally be beginning its own oil boom. Today’s article by Viktor Katona for Oilprice.com looks at Guyana’s coming oil boom. 

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