Investing

McClellan Summation Index

Why These Stock Market Indicators Should Grab Your Full Attention

What is the McClellan Index and why should you care? According to Investopedia, “The McClellan Summation Index is a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator, which is a market breadth indicator based on stock advances and declines. The McClellan Summation Index is used in technical analysis and can be used to identify bullish or bearish bias, as well as the strength of the trend. It is a different way of quantifying the movements in the market other than looking at the price levels of the different indices.”

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Dow Last 10 Years

The Markets in Perspective: What Goes up Must Come down?

Traders routinely fixate on short-term price movements in their chosen financial instruments. Longer-term investors need a wider focus on stocks, forex, indices, FED actions and commodities to gain a better market perspective. The performance of US markets is worthy of mention, particularly since the epic global meltdown following the financial crisis of 2009/10.

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Stocks Up Rates Up

Do the FED’s Interest Rates Affect the Stock Market?

In anticipation of the September 25-26 Fed meeting, CNBC ran this headline (Sept. 21): “Record High Stocks Face Fed Rate Hike.” implying that the Fed’s interest rate decisions actually affect the stock market. Common wisdom says that “falling interest rates means higher stock prices, while rising interest rates means lower stock prices.” At first blush this might sound logical because rising interest rates makes fixed income investments more attractive because they pay more and have less risk than stocks. So some of the available capital will flow into bonds, etc. thus starving the stock market and putting downward pressure on prices.  In this article, Elliott Wave International contends that there is actually no consistent relationship between interest rates and the stock market and they present examples of how the exact opposite of what you would expect has happened.

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Is the Current Highly Volatile Market Really Bearish?

In the following article, Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management looks at the current market volatility compared to similar occurrences in past years to determine how much risk is in the market today.

Price Action Year-to-Date:- What Can We Learn from History?
Reference Points Provide Context
A December 2016 post highlighted similarities between late 2016/early 2017 and the 1994-1995 period.  The analogy proved useful in 2017 with stocks posting a rare low-volatility year that featured a strong bullish trend, which compared very favorably with the strong-gains/low-volatility year of 1995.

Is the Current Highly Volatile Market Really Bearish? Read More »

After the 8 year Rally

A Correction or a New Bear Market?

Corrections are a normal part of any “Bull Market” and a 10% correction is necessary every now and then to shake out the “weak hands”.  Even a 20% correction can be no cause for worry. Today Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management looks at the recent correction and where the market now stands. Are we in for a new bear market or is this just business as usual for a bull market correction?

A Correction or a New Bear Market? Read More »

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