Today Chris Ciovacco looks at both the bullish and bearish cases in an objective manner and tries to come to some insights. He looks at the psychology and expectations going into 2022-23. The high volatility, failed signals and market’s feedback mechanism, policy impact, FED impact, reasons to believe the worst may be over.
The Bullish and Bearish Cases in the Market Read More »
The following article was written by Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management in it he looks at overtime hours, and compares current values to previous recessions. It has been reprinted by permission.
This Chart Says to Be Open to Better than Expected Market Outcomes Read More »
In the following article, Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management looks at the current market volatility compared to similar occurrences in past years to determine how much risk is in the market today.
Price Action Year-to-Date:- What Can We Learn from History?
Reference Points Provide Context
A December 2016 post highlighted similarities between late 2016/early 2017 and the 1994-1995 period. The analogy proved useful in 2017 with stocks posting a rare low-volatility year that featured a strong bullish trend, which compared very favorably with the strong-gains/low-volatility year of 1995.
Is the Current Highly Volatile Market Really Bearish? Read More »
Corrections are a normal part of any “Bull Market” and a 10% correction is necessary every now and then to shake out the “weak hands”. Even a 20% correction can be no cause for worry. Today Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management looks at the recent correction and where the market now stands. Are we in for a new bear market or is this just business as usual for a bull market correction?
A Correction or a New Bear Market? Read More »
Given the favorable tailwinds for equities, this week’s video explores a prudent question:
What Advice Would Jesse Livermore Have For Investors In 2017?
Stocks Still Have Strong Low-Inflation/Low-Rates/Improving-Economy Tailwind Read More »
Our entire investing lives have taken place in the now. We have never executed a buy order in the past, nor have we ever executed a sell order in the future. However, we have all wasted a considerable amount of mental energy thinking about the past or worrying about the future.
Investing: The Incredible Power Of Staying In The Now Read More »
In this article Chris Ciovacco looks at a variety of indicators to determine the probability that the market will take a dive in the near future. He’ll look at New Highs vs. New Lows, and compare market vulnerability of the 2011 market compared to today.
Low Probability Market Will Crash Read More »
The slope of the 200-day looks quite a bit better than it did before the 2016 New Year’s plunge, telling us the present day long-term outlook is quite a bit better than it was on January 1, 2016.
Trump Rally: False Dawn Or New Bullish Trend? Read More »
A referendum is being held on Thursday, June 23, to decide whether Britain should leave or remain in the European Union (EU). Polls currently indicate a bias for the leave scenario. However, Great Britain’s wagering markets continue to show a bias toward the stay scenario.
Brexit: Will They Stay Or Will They Go? Read More »
Stocks do not drop like a lead balloon for no reason during a financial crisis. For instance in both 2001 and 2008, the economy experienced a significant contraction. So what are the odds for a recession now?
Bear Markets And Economic Contractions: 2001/2008 vs. 2015 Read More »
