Economic Trends

Long-term trends grow from short term trends. We attampt to determine the short term trends and where they are pointing.

The $10 Trillion Resource North Korea Has But Can’t Tap

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North Korea is making quite a bit of news these days with its crazy war threats and threatening missile launches.  It knows that in the past brinkmanship has gotten it concessions from every U.S. President since Clinton. During Clinton’s Presidency North Korea began its “Saber Rattling” in response former President Carter began negotiations that resulted in an agreement that North Korea would cease work on Nuclear weapons in exchange 500,000 tons of oil a year and $4 billion toward the construction of a light-water reactor capable of producing nuclear energy (but not weapons) . By 2003, North Korea had breached that agreement . In 2005, North Korea reached another agreement to stop production in exchange for economic and energy aid.  That deal unraveled in 2008. Since 2008 there hasn’t been much done in negotiations between North Korea and the U.S.

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What Can We Learn About the Stock Market From the NY Subway?

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New York city is one of the most populous cities in the world and of course the home of the massive New York Stock exchange. The New York City Subway is the largest rapid transit system in the world by number of stations, with 472 stations in operation. The system is also one of the world’s longest. Overall, the system contains 236 miles (380 km) of routes, translating into 665 miles (1,070 km) of revenue track; and a total of 850 miles (1,370 km) including non-revenue trackage. But what is truly interesting is how the development of the NYC subway parallels the New York Stock market.

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eCommerce Trends: What’s in Your eWallet?

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All of these systems paved the way for the advent of eCommerce. Imagine trying to buy something online if all we had was physical currency. It would effectively be impossible to process electronic transactions without these modern digital currency alternatives. This area is bound to explode in coming years as the desire for more electronic transactions collides with a desire for more electronic privacy.

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Mortgage Delinquency Rates Increase

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In the following article Chris Vermeulen of The Gold and Oil Guy, looks at the current trend in Mortgage Delinquencies in an effort to determine whether the market is still bullish. He also looks at FED actions and how they affect the markets. According to Wikipedia the Federal Funds Rate is, “the interest rate at which depository institutions (banks and credit unions) lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight, on an uncollateralized basis.” ~ Tim McMahon, editor

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The U.S. Economy, Payrolls & FOMC

2 Comments / Economic Trends / By

In today’s post Gary Tanashian looks at ten charts and indicators to give us a unique look at the trends of the overall economic situation, the state of the “economic recovery” and the employment situation. He looks at where the jobs are, how the average consumer is doing and even the debt to GDP ratio. I think you will find some real gems in his charts.

This week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole included a little Payrolls/Wages related economic discussion before moving on to the usual coverage of stock markets, commodities, precious metals, bonds, currencies and related indicators and market internals. With FOMC on tap there will be more data noise directly ahead, but then I expect markets to smooth out into what is looking like a sensible short and intermediate-term plan.

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Cryptocurrency: Is Bitcoin the Future of Money?

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Just a few short years ago no one had heard of them and now it seems like everybody on the Earth knows about Bitcoin. Bitcoin (a peer-to-peer electronic cash system) was first introduced in October 2008… In 2012, at InflationData, we published an article entitled “Civil Liberties Rest Upon Sound Money” about the new currency. Since then the use of bitcoins has grown astonishingly quickly. Being the prescient financial wizards that they are, in 2014 Robert Prechter and our friends at Elliott Wave International began offering their expert financial advisory and educational materials for sale via Bitcoins… Today there are some 14.6 million bitcoin units in circulation… One major problem with most currencies is that there is nothing to stop governments from printing an infinite amount of them. This erodes the value of the existing currency and can cause them to become worthless through hyperinflation like the currencies of the German Weimar Republic and Zimbabwe… Bitcoin is unique in that only 21 million bitcoins will ever be created.

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