Economic Trends

Long-term trends grow from short term trends. We attampt to determine the short term trends and where they are pointing.

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks…Wait Till You See This

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A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline:

Stocks: The “Loss” Decade
A disastrous ten years for the stock market ends in just a month. Will the turning of a new decade change investors’ luck?

One sentence from the story itself tells you most of what you need to know: “The ten years since Y2K are on track to produce the worst total returns for investors since the 1930s.”

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Is Prechter of Elliottwave a “PermaBear”?

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I recently was talking to a fellow investor at a conference and I mentioned that we carried quite a few articles from Elliott Wave International on this site. The gentleman I was speaking with commented that he had the impression that Bob Precter founder of Elliott Wave International was permanently bearish and so “eventually he would be right”.

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Which Investment is Best During a Recession

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In this article Susan Walker explores a question we have touched on before… conventional wisdom and hedging against bad times like inflation and recession. Editor Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recessions? By Susan C. Walker, Elliott Wave International Each year, the NCAA college basketball tournament winnows its starting field of 64 teams

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What is the “Elliott Wave Principle”?

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In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott, a corporate accountant by profession, studied price movements in the financial markets and observed that certain patterns repeat themselves. He offered proof of his discovery by making astonishingly accurate stock market forecasts. What appears random and unrelated, Elliott said, will actually trace out a recognizable pattern once you learn

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The Bounce is Aging, but the Depression is Young

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The following is an excerpt from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. Elliott Wave International is currently offering Bob’s recent Elliott Wave Theorist, free. On February 23, EWT called for the S&P to bottom in the 600s and then begin a sharp rally, the biggest since the 2007 high. The S&P bottomed at 667 on March 6. Then the stock market and commodities went almost straight up for three months as the dollar fell.

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The furious stock rally continues… But

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The furious stock rally continues. But if you’re considering adding to your stake in the markets, be careful where you tread.

On July 23rd the percentage of bulls in the stock market, as measured by the American Association of Individual Investors, jumped 10%. And not only did the survey reveal a huge increase in bullish sentiment, the number of investors who see themselves as bearish dropped 11%. In one day!

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The Stock Market’s Five Fingered Discount

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When I was a kid my Dad used to complain about people taking a “five fingered discount” referring to those who lifted things that didn’t belong to them. In this article we have Jeffrey Kennedy the Chief Commodity Analyst at Elliott Wave International talking about how the stock market can take a five fingered discount from your portfolio.

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