GDP

Global Tariffs

Is Trump Right About Tariffs?

One of Trump’s big talking points in this election cycle was tariffs. So, what are tariffs and are they a good thing?

Tariffs or “import duties” have existed since the country began in the 1700s. Initially, they were imposed by Britain on imports to the Colonies. One memorable instance is the 1767 Townshend Revenue Act, which eventually resulted in the Boston Tea Party. (But not for the reasons you might think.)…

For many years economists believed, as Janet Yellen says, “if a company wants to export to the United States at below-market prices, we should buy the goods and send a thank-you note” but recently economists have begun rethinking that idea. What if those cheap imports last long enough to destroy all domestic production? Then you are at the mercy of foreign producers and all those domestic jobs moved overseas…

“When considering trade policy, it is important to recognize the difference between using tariffs to tilt the international playing field in favor of American businesses and using them as a negotiating tool…

Tariffs can help level the playing field when currency exchange rates aren’t doing the job they should be. Interestingly, back in 2005, it was none other than Democrat Chuck Schumer who led the charge to impose a 35% tariff on China…

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Edgar Allen Poe vs. The FED

Ladies and gentlemen, I give you (drumroll please) total outstanding credit versus GDP in the United States from 1929 to 2012: Source: St. Louis Fed
This one chart shows exactly WHY we are where we are, folks. From the moment Richard Nixon toppled the US dollar from its golden foundation and ushered in the era of pure fiat money (oxymoron though that may be) on August 15, 1971, there has been a ubiquitous and dangerous synonym for “growth”: credit. The world embarked upon a multi-decade credit-fueled binge and claimed the results as growth.

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Gap Developing: Demographic Trends and GDP

In today’s article we look at, what effect do the three “D’s”  debt, deficits, and demographics have on the economy? Do different generations have different expectations based on the economic environment they grew up in? The past 60 years—which we think of as “normal”— enjoyed a demographic tailwind which we can quantify. It was worth

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