Crude Oil Below Zero

How Can Oil Be Worth Less than Nothing?

April 20th, 2020, is a day that will go down in history. Not because of wars or even because of the Coronavirus but simply because it was the first day ever where oil prices were negative. Yes, they were actually paying to try to give it away. Last month we said, that Saudi Arabia’s Oil Price War Is Backfiring. They picked a very bad time to boost production in order to drive prices down just as the Coronavirus stalled the world economy and drove demand to historic lows. It appears that Monday’s price fall is the culmination of that disastrous decision.

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Saudi Arabia vs Russia

Saudi Arabia’s Oil Price War Is Backfiring

Saudi Arabia and Russia must have known an oil price crash would result when they broke up their three-year-long bromance designed to push up oil prices.    Two weeks after the break-up and nearly 4 million bpd of total promised additional oil supply to the market next month, and Riyadh and Moscow are now counting the cost and trying to adjust government spending.

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Oil Is Now More Volatile Than Bitcoin

You know that the oil markets have truly gone to the dogs when they are suddenly riskier than one of the world’s most volatile commodities: bitcoin. Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are synonymous with extreme bouts of volatility. However, it’s crude oil that is now earning that dubious distinction after exhibiting price swings wilder than even the leading cryptocurrency.

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30 Year Mortgage Rates

Financial Real Estate Trends Investors Should Understand for 2020

As we enter into the New Year, it’s important for successful home investors to understand your investment properties outlook for 2020 and beyond. Currently, the prices of single-family homes in high-population areas like San Fransisco and Seattle have almost doubled since the bottom of the cycle in 2011. According to Zillow the median home in San Francisco is almost $1.4 million. But the median household income is only $96,265. Can this be sustainable?

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Dow Last 10 Years

The Markets in Perspective: What Goes up Must Come down?

Traders routinely fixate on short-term price movements in their chosen financial instruments. Longer-term investors need a wider focus on stocks, forex, indices, FED actions and commodities to gain a better market perspective. The performance of US markets is worthy of mention, particularly since the epic global meltdown following the financial crisis of 2009/10.

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Is Bill Gates Right On Energy Investing?

Not long ago, Bill Gates offered some investment advice. That, in itself, constitutes news, but the content and the reactions make up a more interesting story. Gates told the Financial Times, in essence, that investors who want to do something about climate change should stop making up lists of companies they do not want in their portfolios based on involvement in fossil fuel production or use. They should, instead, invest in disruptive technologies that will provide actual solutions to climate change.

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straits of Hormuz

The Oil Crisis Saudi Arabia Can’t Solve

Quelling fears in the market is the right thing to do, but reality also needs to be addressed. Nasr’s message is that of an oil company CEO, taking all precautions to deal with a calamity. ADNOC’s Sultan will be doing the same. Still, the oil market is at present a victim of geopolitical power projections of emotional leaders superseding rationality. This confrontation is one of a possibly unprecedented order, not for oil (as skeptics again will state) but with oil as a weapon for defeat or survival. The continuing reference to the Iran-Iraq tanker war during 1980-1988 is out of touch with reality. At this time, it is not going to be Iran denying support or trade with Iraq, but a possible Arab-Iranian confrontation, led by the USA if no countermeasures are being implemented.

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Shale Well Timetable

Weakening Shale Productivity “VERY Bullish” For Oil Prices

After years of improvements in drilling techniques and impressive “efficiency gains,” there is now evidence that the U.S. shale industry is reaching the end of the road on Well productivity.

A report earlier this month from Raymond James & Associates finds that the U.S. shale industry may be struggling to achieve further productivity gains. If these improvements begin to fizzle out, it could result in “an inflection point in future global oil supply/demand balances,” the investment bank said.

Oil well productivity is “tracking WAY below our model,” analysts Marshall Adkins and John Freeman wrote in the report. They note that U.S. oil production is up less than 100,000 BPD over the first seven months of 2019, compared to the 600,000-BPD increase over the same period in 2018.

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